NCAA PCM – Draft Board / Report 2008

By Guichard Cadet

Unlike previous drafts, the activity will mainly center on the picks themselves and NOT the current players traded. Though I do foresee 3 key trades, selecting the Lottery (top 14 picks) proved much harder than previous years.

Thankfully, the PCM helped clear some of the confusion, which led to a DRAFT BOARD based on “NEED” as opposed to strictly a projection of where a team plans to be in X number of years. This is the reality of today’s NBA where player movement is technically “RESTRICTED” until realistically their 8^th year in the league, unless they have no value to their team.

So, teams should look to not get saddled with “unmovable” contracts and use the draft to build a core of 3 KEY young players.

FIRST ROUND
Pick Number	TEAM	CHOICE
1	Chicago Bulls	Derrick Rose
	Would not be surprised if Beasley is the pick. Drafting Rose creates a messy situation, leading to forced trades - Hinrich / Nocioni.
2	Miami Heat	Michael Beasley
3	Minnesota Timberwolves	Brook Lopez
	If McHale is a gambler, trade down for DeAndre Jordan.
4	Seattle Supersonics	O.J. Mayo
5	Memphis Grizzlies	Kevin Love
6	New York Knicks	Trade Pick
	Such a logjam at every position. Cannot think of a player to draft. Best to to clear contracts, the mid-sized one first: Richardson, Jeffries and James.
7	Los Angeles Clippers	D.J. Augustin
8	Milwaukee Bucks	Trade Pick
	Need an infusion of talent at every position, except SG: Redd, the guy making the most and is ironically the trade bait.
9	Charlotte Bobcats	Roy Hibbert
10	New Jersey Nets	D.J. White
11	Indiana Pacers	Jamar Butler
	There's talk of a trade for a PG and change of culture. Too much talent to throw-in the towel; wait until mid-season to decide.
12	Sacramento Kings	Kentrell Gransberry
13	Portland Trail Blazers	Russell Westbrook
14	Golden State Warriors	Jerryd Bayless
15	Phoenix Suns (from Atlanta)	Chris Douglas-Roberts
16	Philadelphia 76ers	Marreese Speights
17	Toronto Raptors	DeAndre Jordan -- OFF THE BOARD PICK
	Package the right players to get Minny's pick to give Bosh more help, or take this gamble.
18	Washington Wizards	Joe Alexander
19	Cleveland Cavaliers	Eric Gordon -- OFF THE BOARD PICK
	Give up the expiring contracts and take back SALARY for the Knicks or Bucks pick, unless Gordon is still available.
20	Denver Nuggets	Darrell Arthur
21	New Jersey Nets (from Dallas)	Anthony Randolph
22	Orlando Magic	Jamont Gordon
23	Utah Jazz	Robin Lopez
24	Seattle SuperSonics (from Phoenix)	JaVale McGee -- OFF THE BOARD PICK
	Keep drafting Centers until one pans out, or get expiring contracts for teams looking to get younger.
25	Houston Rockets	Brandon Rush
26	San Antonio Spurs	Richard Roby
27	New Orleans	Joey Dorsey
28	Memphis Grizzlies (from L.A. Lakers)	Trade Pick
	No need to bring in another young player, get an expiring contract to shed more salary.
29	Detroit Pistons	Bill Walker
30	Boston Celtics	DeVon Hardin
	*3 First Round Trades would most affect the "Off the Board Picks": DeAndre Jordan, Eric Gordon; or selection of International Players.
SECOND ROUND
Pick Number	TEAM	CHOICE
31	Minnesota Timberwolves (from Miami)	Donte Greene
32	Seattle Supersonics	Davon Jefferson
33	Portland Trail Blazers (from Memphis)	Shan Foster
34	Minnesota Timberwolves	Kyle Weaver
35	Los Angeles Clippers	DeMarcus Nelson
36	Portland Trail Blazers (from New York)	Mario Chalmers
37	Milwaukee Bucks	Richard Hendrix
38	Charlotte Bobcats	Sasha Kaun
39	Chicago Bulls	Luc Richard Mbah a Moute
40	New Jersey Nets	Aleks Maric
41	Indiana Pacers	J.J. Hickson
42	Sacramento Kings (from Atlanta)	Sean Singletary
43	Sacramento Kings	Shaun Pruitt
44	Utah Jazz (from Philadelphia)	Chris Lofton
45	San Antonio Spurs (from Toronto)	Darnell Jackson
46	Seattle SuperSonics (from Portland)	David Padgett
47	Washington Wizards	Patrick Ewing Jr.
48	Phoenix Suns (from Cleveland)	Courtney Lee
49	Golden State Warriors	Kyle Hines
50	Seattle SuperSonics (from Denver)	Pat Calathes
51	Dallas Mavericks	Jason Thompson
52	Miami Heat (from Orlando)	Deron Washington
53	Utah Jazz	Reggie Williams
54	Houston Rockets	Malik Hairston
55	Portland Trail Blazers (from Phoenix)	Sundiata Gaines
56	Seattle SuperSonics (from New Orleans)	J.R. Giddens
57	San Antonio Spurs	Mark Tyndale
58	Los Angeles Lakers	Jaycee Carroll
59	Detroit Pistons	Gary Forbes
60	Boston Celtics	Trent Plaisted

NCAA PCM – Draft Applicants 2008

By Guichard Cadet

As a prelude to this year’s pre-draft report, here is a ranking of this year’s Eligible players on the eve of the final day to “pull out”.

In last year’s pre-NBA Draft report, I listed 10 of the 14 players selected by lottery teams (not a hard feat) because most watchers know who the best players are. A similar report will come on the eve of the draft.

To go with drawing up a list, the key was predicting 15 current NBA players to be traded: Ray Allen, Pau Gasol, Wally Szczerbiak, Jason Richardson, Ben Wallace, Mike Bibby, Nazr Mohammed, Jason Kidd, Steve Francis, Shawn Marion, Kurt Thomas, Drew Gooden, Donyell Marshall, and Larry Hughes. Though some did not go to the predicted team and two teams (Boston and Minnesota) did the total opposite of the report, it still showed why knowing the key and lesser prospects is key in determining draft status and team needs.

This ranking does not address team needs.

For the listing I have separated the players into two groups with Memphis players being ranked with the top group because of their schedule (wins) over Tier 1 schools. I also consider the fact Memphis stayed when the previous elite Conference USA schools moved to the Big East.

The PCM (Positive Contribution Meter) is a Composite System that analyzes player results using the same formula, across 3 categories, and measures on the “aggregate”, making no adjustments for minutes played.

Tier 1 Conference Schools
Name	Rank Total		Rank Per Minute	Rank Per Game	Composite Rank	Position
Michael Beasley	1		1	1	1.00	F
Kevin Love	2		2	2	2.00	F
Richard Hendrix	4		3	3	3.33	F
D.J. White	3		6	4	4.33	PF
Aleks Maric	5		4	5	4.67	C
Dwayne Curtis	6		10	7	7.67	PF
Maarty Leunen	7		11	6	8.00	PF
Marreese Speights	9